DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Audi-Sportpark

Ingolstadt
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern

Malone (88')
Lorenz (5'), Frode (83'), Cvjetinovic (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mause (3', 36')
Gyamerah (14'), Ritter (90+6'), Tomiak (90+6')
Gyamerah (49')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Kaiserslautern.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Ingolstadt 04

All competitions

Last Game: Ingolstadt 1-1 Ulm
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Kaiserslautern

All competitions

Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-2 Greuther Furth
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Kaiserslautern
24.15% ( 0.31)	24.02% ( -0.09)	51.84% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.61% (

0.69)

47.39% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

0.63)

69.6% (

-0.63)

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

0.65)

33.9% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.69)

70.57% (

-0.69)

Kaiserslautern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

0.18)

18.27% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

0.3)

49.33% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 24.15%

Kaiserslautern 51.83%

Draw 24.01%

FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Kaiserslautern
1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.15%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.83%