Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw has a probability of 19.38% and a win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.95%) , while for a Lech Poznan win it is 0-1 (4.18%).

Result

Benfica 65.19% ▲ (+1.94)
Draw 19.38% ▼ (-1.02)
Lech Poznan 15.43% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.06% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 17.94% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 61.02% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 2.5 38.95% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 3.5 39.22% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 3.5 60.78% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 4.5 26.23% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 4.5 73.77% ▼ (-1.08)

First Half Winner

Benfica 49.05% ▲ (+2.50)
Draw 34.16% ▼ (-1.50)
Lech Poznan 16.78% ▼ (-1.02)

Team To Score First

Benfica 68.51% ▲ (+2.18)
No Goal 4.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Lech Poznan 27.09% ▼ (-1.93)

Corners

Over 8 60.82% ▼ (-1.83)
Equal 8 9.45% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 8 29.74% ▲ (+1.72)
Over 9 50.9% ▼ (-1.83)
Equal 9 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 39.18% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 10.5 41.2% ▼ (-1.70)
Under 10.5 58.8% ▲ (+1.70)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 63.42% ▲ (+1.60)
Under 1.5 36.58% ▼ (-1.60)
Over 2.5 37.4% ▲ (+1.56)
Under 2.5 62.6% ▼ (-1.56)
Over 3.5 18.22% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 3.5 81.78% ▼ (-0.96)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 50.55% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 0.5 49.45% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 1.5 21.02% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 1.5 78.98% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 2.5 6.31% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 93.69% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 3.5 1.61% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 98.39% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Benfica 65.19%
Draw 19.37%
Lech Poznan 15.43%
Benfica
2-0 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 18.15% ▲ (+1.03)
Total : 65.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 19.37%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 15.43%

Head to Head

Europa League
Dec 3, 2020 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jan Vertonghen 36' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 57' goal
  • Pizzi 58' goal
  • Julian Weigl 89' goal
  • yellowcard Nika Katcharava 2'
  • yellowcard Filip Marchwinski 72'
Europa League
Oct 22, 2020 5.55pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT INEA stadion
  • Mikael Ishak 15' goal
  • Dorde Crnomarkovic 17' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 49' goal
  • Karlo Muhar 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Pizzi 9'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 42'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 60'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'