Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Celtic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 59.71%. A win for Celtic has a probability of 20.82% and a draw has a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.57%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Celtic win is 1-2 (5.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.29%).

Result

Benfica 59.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 19.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Celtic 20.82% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.42% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 14.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 66.65% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 33.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 45.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 54.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 30.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.66% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Benfica 49.28% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 30.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Celtic 20.2% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Benfica 65.15% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 3.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Celtic 31.65% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 70.59% ▲ (+0.44)
Equal 8 8.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 20.48% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 9 60.54% ▲ (+0.43)
Equal 9 10.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 29.41% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 10.5 50.07% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 10.5 49.93% ▼ (-0.37)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 62.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 36.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 63.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 18.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 58.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 41.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 29.3% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.7% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.08% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 88.92% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.38% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Benfica 59.7%
Draw 19.48%
Celtic 20.8%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.57%
1-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 17.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 59.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.48%
Celtic
1-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 20.8%

Head to Head

Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ola John 0' goal
  • Ezequiel Garay 0' goal
  • goal Georgios Samaras 0'
Sep 19, 2012 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT