Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2026 12.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee 2 - 1 Motherwell
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Alex Lowry

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.00pm
Celtic 0 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 30.8% and a draw has a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).

Result

Motherwell 30.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.36%
Celtic 45.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.52% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 37.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 38.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 61.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 23.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.34% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 28.11%
Draw 36.24%
Celtic 35.65%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 43.18%
No Goal 4.33%
Celtic 52.49%

Corners

Over 8 65.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 23.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 53.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 34.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 58.02% ▼ (-0.03)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 37.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 78.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 25.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.29%
Under 3.5 89.71%

Score analysis

Motherwell 30.79%
Draw 23.36%
Celtic 45.86%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 7.7%
1-0 @ 5.82%
2-0 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.07%
Other @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.36%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-1 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 5.27%
0-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.94%
Total : 45.86%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 13, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Elliot Watt 17' goal
  • Regan Charles-Cook 69' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 81' yellowcard
  • Sam Nicholson 81' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 85' goal
  • Callum Hendry 88' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 88' yellowcard
  • goal Daizen Maeda 41'
  • goal Benjamin Nygren 58'
  • yellowcard Reo Hatate 70'
  • yellowcard Kelechi Iheanacho 70'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 70'
  • yellowcard James Forrest 78'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 78'
  • yellowcard Kelechi Iheanacho 90'+9'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Hyun-jun Yang 38' goal
  • Tomas Cvancara 46' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 62' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cvancara 72' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Saracchi 78' yellowcard
  • Paulo Bernardo 78' yellowcard
  • Anthony Ralston 78' yellowcard
  • Hyun-jun Yang 79' goal
  • goal Elijah Just 32'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 78'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 78'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 79'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 83'
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 83'
  • yellowcard Luca Ross 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Sa'id 14' goal
  • Elliot Watt 58' goal
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 52'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 56'
  • yellowcard Reo Hatate 56'
  • yellowcard Liam Scales 74'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 5, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm