Conference League
Aug 27, 2026 5.45pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Motherwell 1 - 3 Freiburg

Motherwell

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Motherwell 1 - 3 Freiburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 30.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 0-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.07%).

Result

Freiburg 45.43% (+0.04)
Draw 24.18%
Motherwell 30.33% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.37% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.63% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.18% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.82% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.51% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.52% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.48% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 28.54%
Draw 43.23%
Motherwell 28.23% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 45.89% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.96% (-0.01)
Motherwell 47.15%

Corners

Over 8 52.21% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.02)
Under 8 36.19% (-0.03)
Over 9 40.91% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.31% (+0.03)
Under 9 47.79% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 30.75% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.25% (+0.04)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 43.45% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.55% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 19.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.84% (-0.01)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 63.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.81% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.19% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.89%
Under 2.5 87.11%
Over 3.5 4.6%
Under 3.5 95.4%

Score analysis

Freiburg 45.43%
Draw 24.18%
Motherwell 30.33%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-0 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 7.02% (+0.01)
Total : 45.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.18%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 30.33%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Regan Charles-Cook 2' goal
  • Joe Hodge 21' yellowcard
  • Lukas Fadinger 39' yellowcard
  • Martin Moormann 65' redcard
  • Alex Lowry 67' yellowcard
  • goal Matthias Ginter 28'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 59'
  • goal Matthias Ginter 65'
  • goal Keisuke Goto 90'+6'