Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 28.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

Motherwell 46.15% (+0.11)
Draw 24.97%
Freiburg 28.85% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.96% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.54% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.46% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.3% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.7% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.55% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.45% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 38.09%
Draw 43.56%
Freiburg 18.35%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 60.34% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.6% (+0.01)
Freiburg 33.06%

Corners

Over 8 47.5%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 40.48%
Over 9 36.2%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 52.5%
Over 10.5 26.42%
Under 10.5 73.58%

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 45.16% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 54.84% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 20.62% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.38% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 7.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.33% (-0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 63.38% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 36.62% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 31.35% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 68.65% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 12.3% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.7% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.98% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.02% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Motherwell 46.15%
Draw 24.96%
Freiburg 28.85%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.22% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 7.39% (+0.02)
Total : 46.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.96%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.7% (-0.05)
Total : 28.85%