Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Paul Nsio 39' goal
  • Declan John 44' goal
  • Samuel Ramos 45'+4' goal
  • Ryan Carr 85' yellowcard
  • Jake Young 89' yellowcard
  • goal Tawanda Maswanhise 2'
  • goal Regan Charles-Cook 24'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 47'
  • yellowcard Martin Moormann 52'
  • goal Jardell Kanga 90'+3'

St Mirren vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 1 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Dylan Levitt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 37.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 26.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Motherwell 35.82% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 25.5% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 50.99% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 49.01% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 28.32% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 71.68% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 15.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 84.53% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 28.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 45.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Motherwell 25.47% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 48.06%
No Goal 7.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Motherwell 44.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 46.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 42.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 64.62% ▼ (-0.07)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 38.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 61.99% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 15.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 69.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 30.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 36.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 63.48% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 14.4% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.6% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.43% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

St Mirren 37.82%
Draw 26.35%
Motherwell 35.81%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 37.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.35%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 35.81%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Mikael Mandron 46' yellowcard
  • K. Baccus 46' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 46' yellowcard
  • Jalmaro Calvin 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 78' yellowcard
  • goal Elijah Just 14'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 30'
  • goal Ibrahim Said 49'
  • goal Emmanuel Longelo 58'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 62'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 62'
  • goal Eythor Bjørgolfsson 66'
  • yellowcard Luca Ross 77'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 77'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Longelo 77'
  • yellowcard Regan Charles-Cook 77'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 35' goal
  • Elliot Watt 57' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 73' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 73' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 89' yellowcard
  • Detlef Esapa Osong 89' yellowcard
  • Zander McAllister 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 46'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 66'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 67'
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 80'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT