Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Rangers 0 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ibrahim Said

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 35.87% and a draw has a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

St Mirren 37.75% (+2.97)
Draw 26.38% (+0.58)
Motherwell 35.87% (-3.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.41% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.36% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.13% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 48.84% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 28.53% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 71.47% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 15.62% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 84.38% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 28.92% (+3.12)
Draw 45.67% (+0.11)
Motherwell 25.41% (-3.22)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 48.06% (+3.11)
No Goal 7.2% (+0.07)
Motherwell 44.74% (-3.17)

Corners

Over 8 57.79% (-0.43)
Equal 8 11.4% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.81% (+0.40)
Over 9 46.18% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.04)
Under 9 42.21% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 35.31% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 64.69% (+0.33)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 38.1% (+3.11)
Under 1.5 61.9% (-3.11)
Over 2.5 15.32% (+2.00)
Under 2.5 84.68% (-1.99)
Over 3.5 4.96% (+0.99)
Under 3.5 95.04% (-0.99)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 69.98% (-2.08)
Under 0.5 30.02% (+2.08)
Over 1.5 36.69% (-2.57)
Under 1.5 63.31% (+2.57)
Over 2.5 14.54% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 85.46% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 4.64% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 95.36% (+0.75)

Score analysis

St Mirren 37.74%
Draw 26.38%
Motherwell 35.87%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.65% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 5.98% (+0.59)
3-1 @ 3.71% (+0.38)
3-0 @ 2.85% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.15)
Other @ 4.74% (+0.86)
Total : 37.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.15)
Total : 26.38%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.35)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.67)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.79)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.31)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.46)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.42% (-0.89)
Total : 35.87%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Mikael Mandron 46' yellowcard
  • K. Baccus 46' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 46' yellowcard
  • Jalmaro Calvin 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 78' yellowcard
  • goal Elijah Just 14'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 30'
  • goal Ibrahim Said 49'
  • goal Emmanuel Longelo 58'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 62'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 62'
  • goal Eythor Bjørgolfsson 66'
  • yellowcard Luca Ross 77'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 77'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Longelo 77'
  • yellowcard Regan Charles-Cook 77'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 35' goal
  • Elliot Watt 57' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 73' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 73' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 89' yellowcard
  • Detlef Esapa Osong 89' yellowcard
  • Zander McAllister 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 46'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 66'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 67'
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 80'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT