Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.