Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee 1 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.34%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it is 0-1 (6.77%).

Result

St Mirren 53.95%
Draw 24.6%
Kilmarnock 21.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.75% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.23% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.77% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.28%
Under 2.5 50.72%
Over 3.5 26.35%
Under 3.5 73.65%
Over 4.5 15% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 39.74%
Draw 41.91%
Kilmarnock 18.35%

Team To Score First

St Mirren 61.69%
No Goal 7.64%
Kilmarnock 30.67%

Corners

Over 8 64.86%
Equal 8 11.27%
Under 8 23.87%
Over 9 52.61%
Equal 9 12.25%
Under 9 35.14%
Over 10.5 40.55%
Under 10.5 59.45%

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 48.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.49% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.96% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.86% (+0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 55.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 44.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 22.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.66% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.54% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.46% (+0.01)

Score analysis

St Mirren 53.94%
Draw 24.6%
Kilmarnock 21.46%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 12.36% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.97%
2-0 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 8.98%
Total : 53.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 24.6%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.46%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Greg Kiltie 43' goal
  • Tyreece John-Jules 45'+1' goal
  • Joe Hugill 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Tshibola 65' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 76' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 80' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 82' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Killian Phillips 8'
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 46'
  • goal Killian Phillips 47'
  • goal Killian Phillips 48'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 84'
  • yellowcard Conor McMenamin 84'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 84'
  • goal Scott Tanser 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roland Idowu 27' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET