May 2, 2026 3.00pm

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

L
D
L
W
W
L

Scottish Premiership

L
D
L
W
W
L

Last game

Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm

Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Tyreece John-Jules

Dundee United

All competitions

W
W
L
W
D
L

Scottish Premiership

W
W
L
W
D
W

Last game

Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm

Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Dundee

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Will Ferry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Dundee United has a probability of 26.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dundee United win is 0-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Kilmarnock 47.91% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 25.9%

Dundee United 26.19%

Both Teams to Score:

54.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.6% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 24.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 51.95%

Under 2.5 48.05%

Over 3.5 29.81%

Under 3.5 70.19%

Over 4.5 16.85% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 4.5 83.15% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 35.75%

Draw 41.12%

Dundee United 23.13%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 55.67% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Dundee United 37.32%

Corners

Over 8 59.47%

Equal 8 11.73%

Under 8 28.8%

Over 9 47.35%

Equal 9 12.12%

Under 9 40.53%

Over 10.5 35.94%

Under 10.5 64.06%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 46.57%

Under 1.5 53.43%

Over 2.5 21.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 78.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 91.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 62.53% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 37.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 29.23% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 70.77% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 9.68% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 90.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 97.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 47.91%

Draw 25.9%

Dundee United 26.2%

Kilmarnock

1-0 @ 10.36% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 9.46%

2-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 5.06%

3-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.92%

Other @ 8.02%

Total : 47.91%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 25.9%

Dundee United

0-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 4.05%

1-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.87%

0-3 @ 1.49%

Other @ 2.53%

Total : 26.2%

Head to Head

Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Tannadice Park

Ryan Strain 37'
Amar Fatah 41'
Zachary Sapsford 72'
Amar Fatah 74'

Marley Watkins 46'
Jack Thomson 58'
Bruce Anderson 79'
Liam Polworth 79'
Marley Watkins 90'+1'

Nov 29, 2025 5.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Bruce Anderson 34'
Robbie Deas 66'
David Watson 68'
Bradley Lyons 77'
Bradley Lyons 78'

Max Watters 29'
Craig Sibbald 63'
Nikolaj Moller 65'

Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm

Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm

Aug 17, 2025 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Form Data

Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Dundee

Hibernian 3 - 0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Livingston

Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hearts

Falkirk 5 - 1 Kilmarnock

Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Dundee

Dundee Utd 3 - 2 Livingston

Rangers 4 - 2 Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd 2 - 0 Celtic

Dundee 2 - 2 Dundee Utd

Falkirk 2 - 1 Dundee Utd