Scottish Premiership
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Robbie Deas 20' goal
  • Dominic Thompson 46' yellowcard
  • Findlay Curtis 51' goal
  • Liam Polworth 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 64' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 74' yellowcard
  • Kyle Magennis 74' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 60'
  • yellowcard Ivan Dolcek 61'
  • yellowcard Johnny Russell 71'
  • yellowcard Craig Sibbald 71'
  • yellowcard Owen Stirton 86'

Kilmarnock vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Dundee
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Will Ferry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 47.91% (-0.04)
Draw 25.86% (-0.04)
Dundee United 26.22% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.39% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.81%
Under 3.5 70.16% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.85% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.15% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 35.75%
Draw 41.12%
Dundee United 23.13%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 55.66%
No Goal 7% (-0.02)
Dundee United 37.34% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.47%
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 28.8%
Over 9 47.36% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 40.53%
Over 10.5 35.94%
Under 10.5 64.06%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 46.56%
Under 1.5 53.44%
Over 2.5 21.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.25%
Under 3.5 91.75%

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 62.53% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.47% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.23% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.77% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.68% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 47.92%
Draw 25.86%
Dundee United 26.23%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.02%
Total : 47.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.86%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54% (+0.02)
Total : 26.23%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Ryan Strain 37' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 41' yellowcard
  • Zachary Sapsford 72' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 74' goal
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 46'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 58'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 79'
  • goal Marley Watkins 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruce Anderson 34' goal
  • Robbie Deas 66' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 77' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Watters 29'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 63'
  • yellowcard Nikolaj Moller 65'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT