Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.