Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.