Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Hugill 14' goal
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 33' goal
  • Dominic Thompson 72' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 77' yellowcard
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 86' yellowcard
  • David Watson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Murray 24'
  • yellowcard Imari Samuels 46'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hay 58'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 58'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 58'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hay 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 70'
  • goal Scott Wright 81'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 90'+13'

Kilmarnock vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 3 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 4.30pm
Dundee 1 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Simon Murray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 49.54% (-0.04)
Draw 24.63%
Dundee 25.83% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.93% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 24.07% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.87% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.96%
Under 3.5 70% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.01%
Under 4.5 82.99%

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 33.46%
Draw 42.51%
Dundee 24.03%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 53.08%
No Goal 6.32%
Dundee 40.6%

Corners

Over 8 60.11%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 28.55%
Over 9 48.34%
Equal 9 11.77%
Under 9 39.89%
Over 10.5 37.14%
Under 10.5 62.86%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 47.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.56% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.34%
Under 3.5 91.66%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 62.11% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.89% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.33% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.67% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.36% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.68%
Under 3.5 97.32%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 49.55%
Draw 24.63%
Dundee 25.83%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 5.18%
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 8.27%
Total : 49.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.63%
Dundee
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 25.83%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Dominic Thompson 11' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 62' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 18'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 67'
  • yellowcard Imari Samuels 67'
  • goal Ashley Hay 69'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 84'
  • goal Drey Wright 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Reilly 48' yellowcard
  • Yan Dhanda 53' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hay 57' goal
  • Charlie Reilly 72' goal
  • goal Greg Kiltie 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 53'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 54'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 69'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 31' goal
  • Liam Donnelly 47' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 77' goal
  • Robbie Deas 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 30'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Larkeche 56'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 76'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 90'+5'