Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.81% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.