Scottish Premiership
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Afeez Aremu 1' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie  58' yellowcard
  • Dennis Geiger 59' yellowcard
  • Mats Knoester 72' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 72' yellowcard
  • Elvis Bwomono 81' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 84' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 5'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 68'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 77'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 77'
  • yellowcard David Watson 84'
  • yellowcard Brad Lyons  84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard David Watson 85'

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 2 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Dundee
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.75% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Aberdeen 59.88%
Draw 22.75%
Kilmarnock 17.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.32% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.68% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.59% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.41% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.6%
Under 3.5 71.4%
Over 4.5 17.4% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.6% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 43.48%
Draw 38.54%
Kilmarnock 17.98%

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 61.46%
No Goal 7.27%
Kilmarnock 31.27%

Corners

Over 8 66.92%
Equal 8 10.45%
Under 8 22.64%
Over 9 55.44%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 33.08%
Over 10.5 43.92%
Under 10.5 56.08%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 53.52%
Under 1.5 46.48%
Over 2.5 27.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 72.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.49%
Under 3.5 88.51%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 50.94% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 49.06% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 19.25%
Under 1.5 80.75%
Over 2.5 5.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.31%
Under 3.5 98.69%

Score analysis

Aberdeen 59.88%
Draw 22.75%
Kilmarnock 17.38%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 12.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 11.41%
Total : 59.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.75%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 17.38%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 12' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 14' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 58' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 59' goal
  • Findlay Curtis 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 79' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 35'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Leighton Clarkson 56'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 66'
  • yellowcard Kjartan Már Kjartansson 66'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 66'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 14, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Lazetic 75' yellowcard
  • Kenan Bilalovic 79' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 85' goal
  • Adil Aouchiche 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tyreece John-Jules 17'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 51'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 57'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard James Brown 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Ante Palaversa 34' yellowcard
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 37' yellowcard
  • Oday Dabbagh 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Bobby Wales 18'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 45'
  • yellowcard Fraser Murray 52'