Scottish Premiership
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Jake Young 56' yellowcard
  • Roland Idowu 56' yellowcard
  • Conor McMenamin 73' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 73' yellowcard
  • Scott Tanser 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 40'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 64'
  • yellowcard Scott Pittman 64'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Tait 64'
  • goal Alex Gogic 67' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cammy Kerr 77'
  • goal Scott Pittman 81'

St Mirren vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 1 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 3 - 2 Livingston
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Lewis Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.06% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 48.58%
Draw 26.06%
Livingston 25.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.76% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.53% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.47% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 46.07%
Under 2.5 53.93%
Over 3.5 24.55%
Under 3.5 75.45%
Over 4.5 13.29%
Under 4.5 86.71%

First Half Winner

St Mirren 35.09%
Draw 43.2%
Livingston 21.71%

Team To Score First

St Mirren 57.11%
No Goal 8.14%
Livingston 34.75%

Corners

Over 8 59.88%
Equal 8 11.49%
Under 8 28.63%
Over 9 47.96%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 40.12%
Over 10.5 36.65%
Under 10.5 63.35%

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 43.31%
Under 1.5 56.69%
Over 2.5 18.6%
Under 2.5 81.4%
Over 3.5 6.52%
Under 3.5 93.48%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 59.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.54% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.04%
Under 2.5 91.96%
Over 3.5 2.12%
Under 3.5 97.88%

Score analysis

St Mirren 48.59%
Draw 26.06%
Livingston 25.33%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 6.43%
Total : 48.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.06%
Livingston
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.33%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Jeremy Bokila 60' yellowcard
  • B. McKay 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Nouble 69' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Kabongolo 76' goal
  • Mohamad Sylla 86' yellowcard
  • goal Dan N'Lundulu 44'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 82'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 82'
  • yellowcard J. Young 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Richard King 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kion Etete 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Samson Lawal 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 46' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 56' goal
  • Joshua Zimmerman 76' yellowcard
  • Alex Tamm 82' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Kabongolo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 46'
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 63'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 63'
  • yellowcard J. Young 63'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 64'
  • yellowcard Tunmise Sobowale 79'
  • goal Alex Gogic 89'
Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Scott Arfield 11' goal
  • Stevie May 73' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 82' yellowcard
  • Tete Yengi 83' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 91' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 91' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Danso 105'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Idowu 4'
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 61'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 91'
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 104'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 104'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Tunmise Sobowale 111'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 72' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 75'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm