Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.06% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.