Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 16, 2026 12.30pm
Falkirk 2 - 5 Rangers

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
St Mirren 1 - 1 Dundee Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 35.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).

Result

Falkirk 39.78%
Draw 24.52%
St Mirren 35.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.59%
Under 1.5 20.41%
Over 2.5 57%
Under 2.5 43%
Over 3.5 35.23%
Under 3.5 64.77%
Over 4.5 20.89%
Under 4.5 79.11%

First Half Winner

Falkirk 28.76%
Draw 41.71%
St Mirren 29.53%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 48.09%
No Goal 5.34%
St Mirren 46.57%

Corners

Over 8 61.17%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 27.53%
Over 9 49.34%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 38.83%
Over 10.5 37.99%
Under 10.5 62.01%

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 42.63%
Under 1.5 57.37%
Over 2.5 19.29%
Under 2.5 80.71%
Over 3.5 6.95%
Under 3.5 93.05%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 71.09%
Under 0.5 28.91%
Over 1.5 39.76%
Under 1.5 60.24%
Over 2.5 17.05%
Under 2.5 82.95%
Over 3.5 6.21%
Under 3.5 93.79%

Score analysis

Falkirk 39.78%
Draw 24.52%
St Mirren 35.67%
Falkirk
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.97%
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 39.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.52%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 6.02%
Total : 35.67%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Barney Stewart 15' goal
  • Ethan Ross 68' yellowcard
  • Henry Cartwright 82' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 82' yellowcard
  • Gary Oliver 88' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 18'
  • yellowcard Jonah Ayunga 57'
  • yellowcard Declan John 57'
  • goal Liam Donnelly 63'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 75'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Championship
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Peter Grant 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Blair 85' goal
  • Ryan Blair 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 83'
Scottish Championship
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Myles Hippolyte 55' goal
  • Stelios Demetriou 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 63'
  • yellowcard Joe McKee 70'
  • goal Joe McKee 83'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 90'