Scottish Premiership
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • goal Killian Phillips 11'
  • yellowcard Ryan Carr 66'
  • yellowcard Henry Fieldson 80'
  • goal Killian Phillips 87'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 88'
  • yellowcard Luke Thomas 90'+1'

Falkirk vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 16, 2026 12.30pm
Falkirk 2 - 5 Rangers

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
St Mirren 1 - 1 Dundee Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Falkirk 40.67% (+0.04)
Draw 24.39% (-0.04)
St Mirren 34.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 20.34% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 57.12% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 42.88% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 35.39% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 64.61% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 21.05% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.95% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Falkirk 28.69%
Draw 41.78%
St Mirren 29.53%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 48.08% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.29% (-0.02)
St Mirren 46.63% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.38%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 27.33%
Over 9 49.53%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 38.62%
Over 10.5 38.16%
Under 10.5 61.84%

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 43.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.93% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.07% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.32% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.68% (-0.04)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 70.46% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.54% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.07% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.93% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.65% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.35% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.02% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.98% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Falkirk 40.68%
Draw 24.39%
St Mirren 34.9%
Falkirk
2-1 @ 8.48% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09%
Other @ 7.13% (+0.05)
Total : 40.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.39%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 5.83% (+0.01)
Total : 34.9%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Barney Stewart 15' goal
  • Ethan Ross 68' yellowcard
  • Henry Cartwright 82' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 82' yellowcard
  • Gary Oliver 88' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 18'
  • yellowcard Jonah Ayunga 57'
  • yellowcard Declan John 57'
  • goal Liam Donnelly 63'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 75'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Championship
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Peter Grant 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Blair 85' goal
  • Ryan Blair 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 83'
Scottish Championship
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Myles Hippolyte 55' goal
  • Stelios Demetriou 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 63'
  • yellowcard Joe McKee 70'
  • goal Joe McKee 83'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 90'