Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Ryan Strain 32' goal
  • Liam Henderson 41' goal
  • Paul McGovern 51' yellowcard
  • Ben Parkinson 59' goal
  • Ryan Strain 68' yellowcard

Falkirk vs Stranraer - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Alloa 1 - 1 Falkirk

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Stranraer 0 - 2 Edinburgh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.59% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%) , while for a Stranraer win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Falkirk 57.17% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 21.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Stranraer 21.2% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.31% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 17.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 63.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 36.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 40.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 59.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 26.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 73.71% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Falkirk 46.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 35.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Stranraer 18% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Falkirk 65.9% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Stranraer 29.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 24.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 53.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 35.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 41.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 58.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 58.92% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 41.08% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 33.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 66.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 14.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 85.11% ▲ (+0.07)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5 59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Falkirk 57.18%
Draw 21.58%
Stranraer 21.2%
Falkirk
2-1 @ 10.4%
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 14.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 57.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.58%
Stranraer
1-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.2%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Falkirk Stadium
Scottish League One Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stair Park
  • Ryan Thomson 52' goal
  • goal Aidan Connolly 31'
  • yellowcard Declan McManus 55'
Scottish League One Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Declan McManus 18' goal
  • Michael Doyle 40' goal
  • Mark Durnan 72' goal
  • Declan McManus 78' yellowcard
Scottish League One Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal David McMillan 24'
  • goal Charlie Telfer 67'
  • goal Morgaro Gomis 81'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Declan McManus 9' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Cummins 52'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 57'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hamill 77'
Sep 6, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anthony Marenghi 41' goal
  • Craig Pettigrew 57' yellowcard