Scottish League Cup Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Edinburgh 0 - 5 Falkirk

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Stranraer 2 - 3 Ayr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Ayr United has a probability of 36% and a draw has a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Ayr United win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.64%).

Result

Falkirk 39.51% (+0.04)
Draw 24.49%
Ayr United 36% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 42.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 36.1%
Under 3.5 63.9%
Over 4.5 22.04%
Under 4.5 77.96%

First Half Winner

Falkirk 32.81% (+0.02)
Draw 39.39% (-0.01)
Ayr United 27.8%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 49.82% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.85%
Ayr United 44.33% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 55.08% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 33.49% (+0.10)
Over 9 43.68% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.92% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 33.21% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 66.79% (+0.06)

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 42.61%
Under 1.5 57.39%
Over 2.5 19.74%
Under 2.5 80.26%
Over 3.5 7.22%
Under 3.5 92.78%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 70.19% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.81% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.65% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.89% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.12%
Under 3.5 92.88%

Score analysis

Falkirk 39.5%
Draw 24.49%
Ayr United 36%
Falkirk
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3.06%
Other @ 6.94%
Total : 39.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.49%
Ayr United
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.54%
Other @ 6.84%
Total : 36%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ethan Walker 90' goal
  • Ethan Walker 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Sean Mackie 45'
  • yellowcard Dylan Tait 46'
  • yellowcard Calvin Miller 51'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Liam Henderson 45'+1' goal
  • Scott Arfield 64' goal
  • Barney Stewart 68' yellowcard
  • Liam Henderson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Henderson 17'
  • goal George Oakley 39'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 39'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Michael Devlin 6' yellowcard
  • Connor McLennan 34' goal
  • Ben Dempsey 38' goal
  • Scott McMann 40' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 60' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 70' goal
  • goal Ross Maciver 2'
  • redcard Luke Graham 9'
  • goal Alfie Agyeman 36'
  • yellowcard Sean Mackie 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Ethan Ross 8' goal
  • Ethan Ross 51' goal
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 5' goal
  • Anton Dowds 56' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 58' yellowcard
  • Marco Rus 59' yellowcard
  • Fraser Bryden 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 31'
  • yellowcard Finn Yeats 52'
  • yellowcard Ross Maciver 69'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Roy Syla 50' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 70' redcard
  • Sean McGinty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Henderson 30'