Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Airdrieonians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 12.00pm
Ayr 3 - 0 Glenafton

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 2.00pm
Airdrieonians 1 - 1 Elgin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Airdrieonians has a probability of 27.66% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win is 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.07%).

Result

Ayr United 46.01%
Draw 26.33%
Airdrieonians 27.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.68%
Under 1.5 29.32%
Over 2.5 46.33%
Under 2.5 53.67%
Over 3.5 25.13%
Under 3.5 74.87%
Over 4.5 13.7%
Under 4.5 86.3%

First Half Winner

Ayr United 33.36%
Draw 44.74%
Airdrieonians 21.9%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 53.25%
No Goal 8.78%
Airdrieonians 37.97%

Corners

Over 8 58.6%
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 29.67%
Over 9 46.58%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 41.4%
Over 10.5 35.32%
Under 10.5 64.68%

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 41.36%
Under 1.5 58.64%
Over 2.5 17.48%
Under 2.5 82.52%
Over 3.5 5.78%
Under 3.5 94.22%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 61.44%
Under 0.5 38.56%
Over 1.5 27.24%
Under 1.5 72.76%
Over 2.5 9.28%
Under 2.5 90.72%
Over 3.5 2.74%
Under 3.5 97.26%

Score analysis

Ayr United 46.01%
Draw 26.34%
Airdrieonians 27.66%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 5.77%
Total : 46.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.34%
Airdrieonians
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Gavin Allison Gallagher 60' yellowcard
  • Robbie Mahon 67' yellowcard
  • Robbie Mahon 68' goal
  • Charlie McArthur 84' goal
  • Rhys Armstrong 90' yellowcard
  • goal Leon King 26'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 49'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 59'
  • yellowcard Nicholas McAllister 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas McRoberts 79'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Scottish Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Liam McStravick 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rhys Armstrong 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Dempsey 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 74'
  • yellowcard Curtis Main 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 6' goal
  • George Stanger 36' goal
  • Curtis Main 39' goal
  • George Stanger 58' yellowcard
  • Curtis Main 78' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 33'
  • yellowcard Adam Frizzell 43'
  • goal Ben Wilson 59'