Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Somerset Park

Jamie Hislop 69'
Reece Lyon 72'

Trialist 89'

Ayr United vs Airdrieonians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

W
W
L
L
L
W

Club Friendlies 3

W
W

Last game

Jun 30, 2026 7.30pm

Ayr 3 - 0 Dumbarton

Airdrieonians

All competitions

D
L
L
D
W
D

Club Friendlies 3

D

Last game

Jun 27, 2026 2.00pm

Airdrieonians 1 - 1 Elgin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.03% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 52.78% ▲ (+0.03)

Draw 25.03%

Airdrieonians 22.14% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score:

49.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 27.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 47.57%

Under 2.5 52.43%

Over 3.5 25.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 74.03%

Over 4.5 14.67%

Under 4.5 85.33%

First Half Winner

Ayr United 39.63% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 40.75% ▲ (+0.03)

Airdrieonians 19.62%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 57.31% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 8.02%

Airdrieonians 34.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 8 11.46%

Under 8 28.8% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 9 47.89% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 9 11.85%

Under 9 40.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.5 36.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 10.5 63.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 46.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 53.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 21.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 78.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 7.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 92.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 57.03% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 42.97% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 22.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 77.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 7.03% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 92.97% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 98.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ayr United 52.79%

Draw 25.04%

Airdrieonians 22.13%

Ayr United

1-0 @ 12.55% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.82%

Other @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 52.79%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 8.02%

2-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.04%

Airdrieonians

0-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.52%

0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 22.13%

Head to Head

Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Excelsior Stadium

Gavin Allison Gallagher 60'
Robbie Mahon 67'
Robbie Mahon 68'
Charlie McArthur 84'
Rhys Armstrong 90'

Leon King 26'
Mark McKenzie 49'
Dylan Watret 59'
Nicholas McAllister 79'
Lucas McRoberts 79'

Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm

Somerset Park

Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm

4

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 2, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Excelsior Stadium

Liam McStravick 45'+1'
Rhys Armstrong 60'

Ben Dempsey 45'
Scott McMann 74'
Curtis Main 86'

Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm

4

1

HT : 3 0

FT Somerset Park

George Oakley 6'
George Stanger 36'
Curtis Main 39'
George Stanger 58'
Curtis Main 78'

Lewis McGrattan 33'
Adam Frizzell 43'
Ben Wilson 59'

Form Data

Ayr 3 - 0 Dumbarton

Ayr 3 - 0 Glenafton

Ayr 0 - 1 St Johnstone

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Ayr

Ross County 2 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 1 - 0 Arbroath

Airdrieonians 1 - 1 Elgin

Airdrieonians 1 - 2 Alloa

Alloa 1 - 0 Airdrieonians

Morton 1 - 1 Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Ayr

Airdrieonians 2 - 2 Partick