Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.