Scottish Championship
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Gavin Allison Gallagher 60' yellowcard
  • Robbie Mahon 67' yellowcard
  • Robbie Mahon 68' goal
  • Charlie McArthur 84' goal
  • Rhys Armstrong 90' yellowcard
  • goal Leon King 26'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 49'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 59'
  • yellowcard Nicholas McAllister 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas McRoberts 79'

Airdrieonians vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Airdrieonians 2 - 2 Partick
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Dominic Thomas

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Ross County 2 - 1 Ayr
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Airdrieonians 37.67% (-0.97)
Draw 27.28% (+0.48)
Ayr United 35.06% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.08% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 25.92% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 49.44% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 50.56% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 27.48% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 72.47% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 14.61% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 85.39% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 28.81% (-0.09)
Draw 43.8% (-0.07)
Ayr United 27.39% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 44.67% (-0.05)
No Goal 7.53% (+0.30)
Ayr United 47.8% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 60.3% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.57% (+0.04)
Under 8 28.13% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.26% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.05)
Under 9 39.7% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 36.8% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 63.2% (+0.08)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 37.64% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 62.36% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 14.6% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 85.4% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 4.61% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 95.39% (+0.40)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 69.6% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 30.4% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 35.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.44% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.55%
Under 2.5 86.45%
Over 3.5 4.15%
Under 3.5 95.85%

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 37.67%
Draw 27.27%
Ayr United 35.05%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.46% (-0.41)
Total : 37.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 27.27%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.91% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.67% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.09)
Other @ 4% (-0.01)
Total : 35.05%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Scottish Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Liam McStravick 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rhys Armstrong 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Dempsey 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 74'
  • yellowcard Curtis Main 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 6' goal
  • George Stanger 36' goal
  • Curtis Main 39' goal
  • George Stanger 58' yellowcard
  • Curtis Main 78' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 33'
  • yellowcard Adam Frizzell 43'
  • goal Ben Wilson 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Gavin Gallagher 15' yellowcard
  • Gavin Gallagher 15' yellowcard
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 19' yellowcard
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 19' yellowcard
  • Dylan McDonald 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 43'
  • goal Dylan Watret 70'
  • yellowcard Jake Hastie 73'