Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Airdrieonians 2 - 2 Partick
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Dominic Thomas

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Ross County 2 - 1 Ayr
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Ayr United has a probability of 34.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ayr United win is 0-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Airdrieonians 38.68%
Draw 26.83%
Ayr United 34.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.8%
Under 1.5 25.2%
Over 2.5 50.52%
Under 2.5 49.48%
Over 3.5 28.31%
Under 3.5 71.69%
Over 4.5 15.18%
Under 4.5 84.82%

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 28.78%
Draw 43.96%
Ayr United 27.25%

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 45.55%
No Goal 7.23%
Ayr United 47.22%

Corners

Over 8 60.37%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 28.12%
Over 9 48.38%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 39.63%
Over 10.5 36.98%
Under 10.5 63.02%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 38.83%
Under 1.5 61.17%
Over 2.5 15.51%
Under 2.5 84.49%
Over 3.5 5.03%
Under 3.5 94.97%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 69.26%
Under 0.5 30.74%
Over 1.5 35.55%
Under 1.5 64.45%
Over 2.5 13.58%
Under 2.5 86.42%
Over 3.5 4.15%
Under 3.5 95.85%

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 38.67%
Draw 26.84%
Ayr United 34.5%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 38.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.84%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Scottish Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Liam McStravick 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rhys Armstrong 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Dempsey 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 74'
  • yellowcard Curtis Main 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 6' goal
  • George Stanger 36' goal
  • Curtis Main 39' goal
  • George Stanger 58' yellowcard
  • Curtis Main 78' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 33'
  • yellowcard Adam Frizzell 43'
  • goal Ben Wilson 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Gavin Gallagher 15' yellowcard
  • Gavin Gallagher 15' yellowcard
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 19' yellowcard
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 19' yellowcard
  • Dylan McDonald 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 43'
  • goal Dylan Watret 70'
  • yellowcard Jake Hastie 73'