Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.