Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.19% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.