Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.