Scottish Championship
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ochilview Park
  • Euan Murray 33' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Bradley 46' yellowcard
  • Ricki Lamie 58' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 58' yellowcard
  • Ross Mclean 70' yellowcard
  • Liam McLeish 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Dowds 24'
  • yellowcard Ethan Walker 48'
  • yellowcard Ben Summers 66'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 71'

Queen's Park vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Ayr 1 - 2 Queen's Park
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Aidan Connolly

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Ayr 1 - 2 Queen's Park
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-0 (9.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Queen's Park 32.87%
Draw 27.78% (+0.06)
Ayr United 39.35% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 26.8% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 48.09% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 51.91% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 26.53% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 73.47% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 14.25% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 85.75% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Queen's Park 25.99%
Draw 43.89%
Ayr United 30.12%

Team To Score First

Queen's Park 42.14% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.75% (+0.06)
Ayr United 50.11% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.88% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.74% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.38%
Over 9 42.29% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 46.12% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 31.76% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 68.24% (+0.02)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 1.5 32.99% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 67.01% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.09% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 87.91% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.6% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.4% (+0.06)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 27.72% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 38.35% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 61.65% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 15.33% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 84.67% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 5.22% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.78% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Queen's Park 32.86%
Draw 27.79%
Ayr United 39.35%
Queen's Park
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.4% (-0.05)
Total : 32.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.75% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 27.79%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 10% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.02% (-0.08)
Total : 39.35%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Liam Dick 39' yellowcard
  • Marco Rus 58' yellowcard
  • F. Turley 59' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 60' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 83' goal
  • goal Callum Smith 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruth 73'
  • yellowcard Ricki Lamie 81'
  • goal Michael Ruth 87'
Scottish Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Jamie Murphy 16' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 54' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 7'
  • goal Sebastian Drozd 23'
  • goal Roddy MacGregor 31'
  • yellowcard Aidan McGinlay 42'
  • yellowcard Adam Montgomery 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Calum Ferrie 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Duncan 69' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Rus 65'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 75'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 76'
  • goal Curtis Main 79'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 31' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 39' goal
  • George Oakley 76' goal
  • Ryan Howley 84' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 57'
  • yellowcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 73'
  • goal Josh Hinds 81'
  • goal Jack Turner 83'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • redcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 90'+3'