Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Ochilview Park

Queen's Park vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 1.00pm
Queen's Park 1 - 0 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Aidan Connolly

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Queen's Park has a probability of 32.77% and a draw has a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Queen's Park win is 1-0 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result

Queen's Park 32.77% (-0.11)
Draw 27.73% (-0.01)
Ayr United 39.5% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.15% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.39% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.61% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 48.38% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.62% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.91% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.51% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.49% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Queen's Park 25.99% (-0.08)
Draw 43.89%
Ayr United 30.12% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Queen's Park 42.18% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.67% (+0.01)
Ayr United 50.15% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.87% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.69% (-0.09)
Under 8 34.43% (-0.10)
Over 9 42.32% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.55% (-0.06)
Under 9 46.12% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 31.83% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 68.17% (-0.27)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 1.5 33.09% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 66.91% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.17% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 87.83% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.65% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.35% (+0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 72.44% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.56% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.66% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.34% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.67% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Queen's Park 32.76%
Draw 27.73%
Ayr United 39.49%
Queen's Park
1-0 @ 8.98%
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44% (-0.04)
Total : 32.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 27.73%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 9.94% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.55% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.75% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 39.49%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Jamie Murphy 16' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 54' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 7'
  • goal Sebastian Drozd 23'
  • goal Roddy MacGregor 31'
  • yellowcard Aidan McGinlay 42'
  • yellowcard Adam Montgomery 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Calum Ferrie 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Duncan 69' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Rus 65'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 75'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 76'
  • goal Curtis Main 79'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 31' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 39' goal
  • George Oakley 76' goal
  • Ryan Howley 84' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 57'
  • yellowcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 73'
  • goal Josh Hinds 81'
  • goal Jack Turner 83'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • redcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Cammy Kerr 35' goal
  • Cammy Kerr 72' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mackenzie 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 13'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 58'
  • yellowcard Roy Syla 78'