Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-0 (9.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.