Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.