Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Stark's Park

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Partick
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Jack Hamilton

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 1 Morton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Ayr United has a probability of 30.56% and a draw has a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Ayr United win is 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Raith Rovers 42.49% (-4.61)
Draw 26.95% (+0.58)
Ayr United 30.56% (+4.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.84% (+0.95)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.23% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 25.77% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 49.89% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 50.11% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 27.81% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 72.19% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 15.18% (-0.42)
Under 4.5 84.82% (+0.42)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 32.26% (-1.78)
Draw 43.1% (+0.36)
Ayr United 24.64% (+1.43)

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 51.09% (-3.30)
No Goal 7.39% (+0.09)
Ayr United 41.52% (+3.22)

Corners

Over 8 49.97% (+0.38)
Equal 8 12% (-0.25)
Under 8 38.03% (-0.13)
Over 9 38.47% (+0.59)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.19)
Under 9 50.03% (-0.38)
Over 10.5 28.33% (+0.71)
Under 10.5 71.67% (-0.71)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 41.37% (-3.47)
Under 1.5 58.63% (+3.47)
Over 2.5 17.49% (-2.48)
Under 2.5 82.51% (+2.47)
Over 3.5 5.96% (-1.25)
Under 3.5 94.04% (+1.25)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 66.11% (+3.43)
Under 0.5 33.89% (-3.43)
Over 1.5 32.02% (+3.40)
Under 1.5 67.98% (-3.40)
Over 2.5 11.65% (+1.87)
Under 2.5 88.35% (-1.86)
Over 3.5 3.55% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 96.45% (-0.71)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 42.48%
Draw 26.95%
Ayr United 30.57%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.65)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.92)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.46)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.70)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.17)
Other @ 5.74% (-1.27)
Total : 42.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 7.39% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.03)
Total : 26.95%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.19% (+0.79)
1-2 @ 7.41% (+0.80)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.71)
1-3 @ 2.81% (+0.44)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.41)
Other @ 3.33% (+0.69)
Total : 30.57%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 28' goal
  • Anton Dowds 57' goal
  • Ben Summers 68' yellowcard
  • George Oakley 81' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 81' yellowcard
  • J. Bonnar 87' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Vaughan 60'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 60'
  • yellowcard Paul Nsio 60'
  • yellowcard Paul McMullan 76'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 77'
Scottish Championship
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 2' goal
  • George Oakley 12' goal
  • George Oakley 25' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Lewis Jamieson 19' goal
  • Dylan Easton 23' yellowcard
  • Lewis Jamieson 43' goal
  • Lewis Stevenson 64' yellowcard
  • Scott Brown 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'+2'