Scottish Championship
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Nicholas McAllister 50' yellowcard
  • Ben Summers 60' yellowcard
  • Stuart Bannigan 73' yellowcard
  • Liam Dick 73' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Comrie 3'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 30'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 71'
  • yellowcard Arron Lyall 82'

Ayr United vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Queen's Park 1 - 1 Ayr
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Morton 1 - 2 Partick
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.06% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 55.32% (-0.14)
Draw 24.06% (-0.14)
Greenock Morton 20.58% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.04% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.48% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 24.52% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 51.56% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 48.44% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 29% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 71% (-0.79)
Over 4.5 17.01% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 82.99% (-0.72)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 38.7% (-0.22)
Draw 40.86% (-0.36)
Greenock Morton 20.43% (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 58.18% (-0.85)
No Goal 6.79% (-0.05)
Greenock Morton 35.03% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 56.28% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.16)
Under 8 32.11% (+0.07)
Over 9 44.6% (-0.36)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.13)
Under 9 43.72% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 33.8% (-0.45)
Under 10.5 66.2% (+0.44)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 51.18% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 48.82% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 25.04% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 74.96% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 10.13% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 89.87% (-0.43)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 56.22% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 43.78% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 23.25% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 76.75% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 6.95% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 93.05% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 1.82% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 98.18% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Ayr United 55.31%
Draw 24.05%
Greenock Morton 20.57%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
Other @ 10.03% (+0.38)
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.05)
Total : 24.05%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 5.51% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.72% (+0.16)
Total : 20.57%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 33' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 33' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 48' goal
  • Aaron Comrie 50' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Dowds 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Holt 29'
Scottish Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron Blues 56' goal
  • Jordan Davies 77' goal
  • Dylan Corr 84' redcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Main 8'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 45'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Nick McAllister 24' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Stuparevic 36'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Morgan Boyes 19' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 37' goal
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 44'
  • goal George Oakley 50'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 56'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 79'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 80'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 90'+2'