Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.94% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.