Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.