Scottish Challenge Cup
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Lewis McGrattan 63' yellowcard
  • Scott Constable 74' yellowcard
  • Dean McMaster 74' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 74' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 88' goal
  • yellowcard Innes Cameron 48'
  • goal Dylan Easton 56'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 79'
  • yellowcard Joshua Mullin 79'
  • yellowcard Richard Chin 85'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 85'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 86'

Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Airdrieonians 26.88% (-0.33)
Draw 26.82% (+0.22)
Raith Rovers 46.3% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.35% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.13% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 31.87% (+0.86)
Over 2.5 42.55% (-0.98)
Under 2.5 57.45% (+0.98)
Over 3.5 22.05% (-0.69)
Under 3.5 77.95% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 11.86% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 88.14% (+0.47)

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 22.61%
Draw 44.3%
Raith Rovers 33.1% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 36.39% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.63% (+0.25)
Raith Rovers 53.98% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.37% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.4% (+0.07)
Under 8 32.23% (+0.08)
Over 9 44.88% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.06)
Under 9 43.63% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 34.24% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 65.76% (+0.20)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 24.96% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 75.04% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 8.32% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 91.68% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 2.19% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.81% (+0.13)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.3% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.7% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 39.8% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 60.2% (+0.70)
Over 2.5 15.84% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 84.16% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 5.45% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 94.55% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 26.89%
Draw 26.82%
Raith Rovers 46.29%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 8.98% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.05% (-0.13)
Total : 26.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 9.63% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 26.82%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 13.26% (+0.58)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 9% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.07)
Other @ 5.31% (-0.20)
Total : 46.29%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Charles Telfer 67' yellowcard
  • Cole McKinnon 67' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Montagu 62'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 83'
Scottish Championship
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Dylan Easton 40' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 42' goal
  • goal Chris Mochrie 20'
  • yellowcard Aidan Wilson 67'
  • yellowcard Mason Hancock 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Lewis Strapp 64' yellowcard
  • Lewis McGrattan 78' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 45'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 55'
  • yellowcard Dylan Easton 60'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Scott Brown 20' goal
  • Josh Mullin 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rhys Armstrong 60'