Scottish Challenge Cup
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Airdrieonians has a probability of 27.2% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win is 1-0 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result

Airdrieonians 27.2% (+0.31)
Draw 26.6% (-0.17)
Raith Rovers 46.2% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.03% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.99% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 31.01% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 43.52% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 56.48% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 22.74% (+0.69)
Under 3.5 77.26% (-0.69)
Over 4.5 12.33% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 87.67% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 22.61%
Draw 44.3%
Raith Rovers 33.09% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 36.46% (+0.08)
No Goal 9.39% (-0.23)
Raith Rovers 54.15% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 56.49% (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.07)
Under 8 32.16% (-0.08)
Over 9 45.05% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.06)
Under 9 43.51% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 34.43% (+0.19)
Under 10.5 65.57% (-0.20)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 25.57% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 74.43% (-0.64)
Over 2.5 8.62% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 91.38% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 2.32% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 97.68% (-0.14)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.35% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 26.65% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 40.49% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 59.51% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 16.23% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 83.77% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 5.65% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 94.35% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 27.19%
Draw 26.61%
Raith Rovers 46.2%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.53% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.21% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.72% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.63% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.17% (+0.13)
Total : 27.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.02)
Total : 26.61%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 12.69% (-0.58)
1-2 @ 9.19% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.84% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.5% (+0.18)
Total : 46.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Charles Telfer 67' yellowcard
  • Cole McKinnon 67' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Montagu 62'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 83'
Scottish Championship
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Dylan Easton 40' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 42' goal
  • goal Chris Mochrie 20'
  • yellowcard Aidan Wilson 67'
  • yellowcard Mason Hancock 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Lewis Strapp 64' yellowcard
  • Lewis McGrattan 78' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 45'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 55'
  • yellowcard Dylan Easton 60'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Scott Brown 20' goal
  • Josh Mullin 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rhys Armstrong 60'