Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.87% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.