Scottish Championship
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Kai Montagu 46' yellowcard
  • Richard Chin 60' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 64' goal
  • Kai Montagu 77' goal
  • Kai Montagu 85' goal
  • Joshua Mullin 89' yellowcard
  • Joshua Mullin 90' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Devine 54'
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 62'
  • yellowcard Owen Stirton 75'
  • yellowcard Gavin Allison Gallagher 75'
  • yellowcard Aaron Reid 82'

Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Dunfermline 3 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Jack Hamilton

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Airdrieonians 0 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Euan Henderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.87% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Raith Rovers 50.88% (+0.07)
Draw 25.87%
Airdrieonians 23.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.91% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.09% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.12%
Under 2.5 51.88%
Over 3.5 26.35% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.65% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.74%
Under 4.5 85.26%

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 36.3%
Draw 42.51%
Airdrieonians 21.19%

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 57.02%
No Goal 7.76%
Airdrieonians 35.22%

Corners

Over 8 59.8% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.39% (+0.06)
Under 8 28.82% (-0.15)
Over 9 48% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.07)
Under 9 40.2% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 36.81% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.19% (+0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 46.27% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.73% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 20.8% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.2% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.7% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.3% (-0.02)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 58.76% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.24% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.59%
Under 1.5 75.41%
Over 2.5 7.65% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.35% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.05% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 50.88%
Draw 25.88%
Airdrieonians 23.25%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 12.11% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.58% (+0.01)
Total : 50.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
Airdrieonians
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Total : 23.25%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Lewis McGrattan 63' yellowcard
  • Scott Constable 74' yellowcard
  • Dean McMaster 74' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 74' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 88' goal
  • yellowcard Innes Cameron 48'
  • goal Dylan Easton 56'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 79'
  • yellowcard Joshua Mullin 79'
  • yellowcard Richard Chin 85'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 85'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Charles Telfer 67' yellowcard
  • Cole McKinnon 67' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Jake Hastie 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Montagu 62'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 83'
Scottish Championship
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Dylan Easton 40' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 42' goal
  • goal Chris Mochrie 20'
  • yellowcard Aidan Wilson 67'
  • yellowcard Mason Hancock 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Lewis Strapp 64' yellowcard
  • Lewis McGrattan 78' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 45'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 55'
  • yellowcard Dylan Easton 60'