Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.