Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.69% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.