Scottish Championship
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
Cappielow Park

Greenock Morton vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 1 Morton
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Arbroath 1 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Findlay Marshall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 31% and a draw has a probability of 28.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 1-0 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.05%).

Result

Greenock Morton 31%
Draw 28.12%
Arbroath 40.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.3% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.77% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.23% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 43.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 56.8% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 22.62% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 77.38% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.74% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.26% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Greenock Morton 27.32% (+0.04)
Draw 44.79% (-0.04)
Arbroath 27.89%

Team To Score First

Greenock Morton 42.62% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.49% (-0.02)
Arbroath 47.89% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 57.38% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.02)
Under 8 31.02% (-0.08)
Over 9 45.6% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.02)
Under 9 42.62% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 34.62% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.38% (-0.02)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 1.5 28.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.21% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.34% (-0.01)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 70.76% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.24% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.41% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.59% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.71% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.44% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.56% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 31%
Draw 28.11%
Arbroath 40.89%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Total : 31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.11%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 4.39% (+0.01)
Total : 40.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Aaron Muirhead 58' goal
  • Jacob MacIntyre 82' yellowcard
  • Jacob MacIntyre 83' yellowcard
  • Scott Robinson 89' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owen Moffat 67'
  • goal Michael Garrity 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 84'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 85'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 90'
  • yellowcard Scott Robinson 90'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 90'+1'
Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Michael McKenna 68' goal
  • George Oakley 76' yellowcard
  • Calum Waters 86' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Crawford 56'
  • goal George Oakley 58'
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Alan Power 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 63' goal
  • George Oakley 75' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Keaghan Jacobs 25'
  • redcard Keaghan Jacobs 28'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 29'
  • yellowcard Jay Bird 48'
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 50'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Thomas O'Brien 42' yellowcard
  • David Gold 61' goal
  • goal Lewis McGrattan 37'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Strapp 67'
  • yellowcard Tyler French 74'
  • goal George Oakley 79'