Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.