Scottish Championship
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Global Energy Stadium
  • Ryan Duncan 4' goal
  • Bradley Foster 46' yellowcard
  • Dylan Smith 67' yellowcard
  • Jordan White 67' yellowcard
  • Alex Iacovitti 70' goal
  • Jamie Lindsay 77' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Dowds 41'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas McRoberts 81'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 90'

Ross County vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ross County

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
Queen's Park 1 - 0 Ross County
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Jay Henderson

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 1 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Ross County 38.24% (-0.06)
Draw 26.63% (+0.25)
Ayr United 35.14% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.47% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 24.53% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 52.11% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 47.89% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 29.46% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 70.54% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 15.84% (-0.42)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+0.41)

First Half Winner

Ross County 30.73% (-0.65)
Draw 43.33% (+1.38)
Ayr United 25.94% (-0.74)

Team To Score First

Ross County 48.02% (-0.25)
No Goal 6.99% (+0.34)
Ayr United 44.99% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.98% (-0.66)
Equal 8 11.38% (+0.34)
Under 8 29.64% (+0.34)
Over 9 47.28% (-0.94)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.28)
Under 9 41.02% (+0.67)
Over 10.5 36.25% (-1.12)
Under 10.5 63.75% (+1.12)

Ross County Goals

Over 1.5 39.14% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 60.86% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 15.8% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 84.2% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 5% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95% (+0.21)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 69.92% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 30.08% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 37.04% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.96% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 14.88% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.12% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.85% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.15% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Ross County 38.23%
Draw 26.62%
Ayr United 35.13%
Ross County
1-0 @ 9.2% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.88% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.13)
Other @ 4.73% (-0.19)
Total : 38.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.99% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 26.62%
Ayr United
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.58% (-0.09)
Total : 35.13%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • J. Bonnar 51' yellowcard
  • Nicholas McAllister 56' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Phillips 73'
  • yellowcard Kaedyn Kamara 73'
Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Cup Gameweek 4
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Steven Bell 37' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Paton 51'
  • yellowcard Jordan Tillson 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2019 7.05pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Calvin Miller 12' goal
  • Daniel Harvie 57' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 42'
  • goal Brian Graham 46'
  • goal Brian Graham 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 73'
  • yellowcard Michael Gardyne 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)
  • Billy Mckay 35' goal
  • Jamie Lindsay 56' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 70' goal
  • Billy Mckay 75' goal
  • Kenny van der Weg 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 54'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 62'
  • goal Andy Murdoch 73'
  • yellowcard Mark Kerr 74'