Club Friendlies 3
Jun 30, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Luke McBeth 19' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 22' goal
  • Ross Taylor 53' goal

Ayr United vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 12.00pm
Ayr 3 - 0 Glenafton

Dumbarton

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 3.00pm
Linlithgow 3 - 3 Dumbarton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.63% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 56.4% (-0.11)
Draw 23.63% (+0.01)
Dumbarton 19.98% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.64% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.05% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.95% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.76% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.24% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.03% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.97% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.31% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.69% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 40.25% (+0.01)
Draw 42.7% (-0.01)
Dumbarton 17.05%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 62.63% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.44% (+0.02)
Dumbarton 29.93%

Corners

Over 8 60.96% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 27.44% (-0.01)
Over 9 48.81% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.14% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.04% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.22% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.78% (-0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 51.86% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 48.14% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 26.31% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 73.69% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 11.29% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 88.71% (+0.07)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 54.31% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 45.69% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.37% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.63% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.7% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.3% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.92%
Under 3.5 98.08%

Score analysis

Ayr United 56.39%
Draw 23.64%
Dumbarton 19.98%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.28% (-0.08)
Total : 56.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.64%
Dumbarton
0-1 @ 6.09% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 19.98%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 18, 2017 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Christian Nade 45' goal
  • Tom Walsh 46' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Dowie 36' (OG)
  • goal Declan McDaid 71'
  • goal Robbie Crawford 88'
Scottish Championship
Mar 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Farid El Alagui 45' goal
  • Robbie Crawford 51' goal
  • Ross Docherty 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Rose 82' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Thomson 21'
  • redcard Gary Fleming 71'
  • yellowcard Sam Stanton 88'
  • yellowcard Mark Docherty 91'
Scottish Championship
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chrisitan Nade 43' yellowcard
  • Samuel Stanton 62' goal
  • Samuel Stanton 75' goal
  • Darren Barr 91' yellowcard
  • redcard Ross Docherty 27'
  • yellowcard Patrick Boyle 89'
  • goal Michael Rose 90'
  • goal Craig Moore 90'
Scottish Championship
Dec 24, 2016 12.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott McKenna 31' goal
  • Michael Rose 40' yellowcard
  • Gary Harkins 43' goal
  • Alan Forrest 74' goal
  • Ross Docherty 85' yellowcard
  • Paul Cairney 86' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 30'
  • goal Robert Thomson 45'
  • goal Daniel Harvie 52'
  • redcard Andy Stirling 73'
  • goal Joseph Thomson 84'
  • goal Ryan Stevenson 88'
Scottish Championship
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniel Harvie 61' yellowcard
  • Darren Barr 91' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Forrest 2'
  • goal Alan Forrest 50'
  • goal Alan Forrest 62'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 64'
  • yellowcard Robbie Crawford 84'