Club Friendlies 3
Jun 30, 2026 7.30pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 12.00pm
Ayr 3 - 0 Glenafton

Dumbarton

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 3.00pm
Linlithgow 3 - 3 Dumbarton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.62% and a win for Dumbarton has a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Dumbarton win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result

Ayr United 56.51% (+0.15)
Draw 23.62% (-0.04)
Dumbarton 19.92% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.69% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.12% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 24.88% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 51.86% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 48.14% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 30.16% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.84% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 18.41% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 81.59% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 40.24% (+0.04)
Draw 42.71% (-0.04)
Dumbarton 17.05%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 62.64% (+0.10)
No Goal 7.43% (-0.09)
Dumbarton 29.93% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.95% (+0.98)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.05)
Under 8 27.45% (-0.93)
Over 9 48.8% (+0.91)
Equal 9 12.15% (+0.06)
Under 9 39.05% (-0.98)
Over 10.5 37.21% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 62.79% (-0.79)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 52% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 48% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 26.43% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 73.57% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 11.36% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 88.64% (-0.11)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 54.28% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 45.72% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 22.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.92% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ayr United 56.5%
Draw 23.63%
Dumbarton 19.93%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.84% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.35% (+0.11)
Total : 56.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.63%
Dumbarton
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.07% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Total : 19.93%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 18, 2017 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Christian Nade 45' goal
  • Tom Walsh 46' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Dowie 36' (OG)
  • goal Declan McDaid 71'
  • goal Robbie Crawford 88'
Scottish Championship
Mar 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Farid El Alagui 45' goal
  • Robbie Crawford 51' goal
  • Ross Docherty 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Rose 82' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Thomson 21'
  • redcard Gary Fleming 71'
  • yellowcard Sam Stanton 88'
  • yellowcard Mark Docherty 91'
Scottish Championship
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chrisitan Nade 43' yellowcard
  • Samuel Stanton 62' goal
  • Samuel Stanton 75' goal
  • Darren Barr 91' yellowcard
  • redcard Ross Docherty 27'
  • yellowcard Patrick Boyle 89'
  • goal Michael Rose 90'
  • goal Craig Moore 90'
Scottish Championship
Dec 24, 2016 12.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott McKenna 31' goal
  • Michael Rose 40' yellowcard
  • Gary Harkins 43' goal
  • Alan Forrest 74' goal
  • Ross Docherty 85' yellowcard
  • Paul Cairney 86' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 30'
  • goal Robert Thomson 45'
  • goal Daniel Harvie 52'
  • redcard Andy Stirling 73'
  • goal Joseph Thomson 84'
  • goal Ryan Stevenson 88'
Scottish Championship
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniel Harvie 61' yellowcard
  • Darren Barr 91' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Forrest 2'
  • goal Alan Forrest 50'
  • goal Alan Forrest 62'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 64'
  • yellowcard Robbie Crawford 84'