Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.