Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.