Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.