Scottish League Two Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium

Dumbarton vs Spartans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Stirling 1 - 1 Dumbarton
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Leighton McIntosh

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Spartans 2 - 0 Stirling
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Mark Stowe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spartans win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Dumbarton has a probability of 27.4% and a draw has a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win is 2-1 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.71%).

Result

Dumbarton 27.4% (-0.06)
Draw 22.08%
Spartans 50.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.14% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.86% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 61.97% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 38.03% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 39.91% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 60.09% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 25.72% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 74.28% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Dumbarton 24.74%
Draw 36.59%
Spartans 38.67%

Team To Score First

Dumbarton 41.61%
No Goal 4.72% (+0.01)
Spartans 53.67% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.98% (+0.74)
Equal 8 11.42% (+0.25)
Under 8 30.6% (-0.98)
Over 9 46.33% (+0.41)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.34)
Under 9 42.02% (-0.74)
Over 10.5 35.42% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 64.58% (-0.07)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 1.5 33.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.93% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.73% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.49% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.51% (-0.02)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5 80% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 53.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 28.6% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 71.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 13.75% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 86.25% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Dumbarton 27.41%
Draw 22.09%
Spartans 50.47%
Dumbarton
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.2% (+0.01)
Total : 27.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.01)
Total : 22.09%
Spartans
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.75% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 13.46% (+0.04)
Total : 50.47%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ainslie Park Stadium
  • Bradley Whyte 37' goal
  • Marc McNulty 67' goal
  • Bailey Dall 75' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Scott 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aron Lynas 54'
  • yellowcard Ally Roy 74'
  • yellowcard Steven Boyd 74'
Scottish League Two
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Playoffs
May 17, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ainslie Park Stadium
  • Cammy Russell 3' goal
  • Bradley Whyte 56' yellowcard
  • James Craigen 87' yellowcard
  • Blair Henderson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Michael Ruth 5'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruth 45'+1'
  • goal Michael Ruth 53'
  • yellowcard Findlay Gray 90'+1'
  • yellowcard James Graham 90'+2'
Scottish League One Playoffs
May 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Tony Wallace 21' goal
  • Findlay Gray 29' goal
  • David Wilson 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cammy Russell 31'
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 40'
  • goal Ayrton Sonkur 48'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
6
HT : 2 3
FT Ainslie Park Stadium
  • Cammy Russell 28' goal
  • Bradley Whyte 45' goal
  • goal Ryan Blair 5'
  • yellowcard Ryan Blair 24'
  • goal Aron Lynas 32'
  • yellowcard Aron Lynas 39'
  • goal Gallagher Lennon 43'
  • goal Ryan Blair 55'
  • goal Michael Ruth 64'
  • goal James Graham 89'