Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.