Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.