Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.