Scottish League Two Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Borough Briggs
  • Ryan Sargent 34' goal
  • Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 68' yellowcard
  • Kane Hester 68' yellowcard
  • Robbie Thompson 74' yellowcard
  • Brian Cameron 74' yellowcard
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 51'
  • yellowcard Ally Roy 82'

Elgin City vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Annan 2 - 1 Elgin
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ryan Sargent

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Dumbarton 2 - 0 Stranraer
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Leighton McIntosh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Elgin City 44.12% (-0.06)
Draw 24.33%
Dumbarton 31.6% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.95% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.75% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.25% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 60.5% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 39.5% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 37.86% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 62.14% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 23.03% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 76.97% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Elgin City 36.17%
Draw 38.13%
Dumbarton 25.69%

Team To Score First

Elgin City 55.07% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.83% (-0.02)
Dumbarton 40.1%

Corners

Over 8 62.81% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.01% (-0.06)
Over 9 50.95% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.86% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.19% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 39.46% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 60.54% (-0.03)

Elgin City Goals

Over 1.5 48.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.38% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 76.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.63% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.37% (-0.02)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 68.59% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.41% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 37.57% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.43% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.85% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.15% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.66% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.34% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Elgin City 44.11%
Draw 24.32%
Dumbarton 31.59%
Elgin City
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.32% (+0.02)
Total : 44.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.32%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 5.35% (+0.05)
Total : 31.59%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium
  • Kristian Webster 37' yellowcard
  • Josh Todd 62' goal
  • Dom Docherty 73' yellowcard
  • Leighton McIntosh 74' goal
  • Aaron Brown 89' yellowcard
  • Morgyn Neill 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Hyde 71'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sargent 71'
  • goal Miko Virtanen 80'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 81'
  • goal Ryan Sargent 84'
Scottish League Two
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Michael Ruth 37' goal
  • Marc Kelly 54' yellowcard
  • James Graham 89' goal
  • David Wilson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Russell Dingwall 20'
  • goal Ross Draper 28'
  • yellowcard Ross Draper 64'
  • yellowcard Gallagher Lennon 85'
  • yellowcard Mark Gallagher 86'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Borough Briggs
  • Ross Draper 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tony Wallace 45'+2'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 13
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Ryan Wallace 60' yellowcard
  • Tony Wallace 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Dolzanski 23'
  • yellowcard Robert Jones 42'
  • yellowcard Kenny MacInnes 88'