Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.