Scottish League Two Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium

Dumbarton vs Stranraer - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Annan 1 - 0 Dumbarton
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Leighton McIntosh

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Stranraer 0 - 0 Annan
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Deryn Lang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stranraer win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Dumbarton has a probability of 30.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Dumbarton win is 2-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).

Result

Dumbarton 30.7% (-0.09)
Draw 23.18% (-0.02)
Stranraer 46.12% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.85% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 62.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.31% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 40.57% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.43% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 24.76% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.24% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Dumbarton 26.16%
Draw 37.38%
Stranraer 36.46%

Team To Score First

Dumbarton 42.04%
No Goal 4.49% (+0.01)
Stranraer 53.47% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.33%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 26.47%
Over 9 52.48%
Equal 9 10.84%
Under 9 36.67%
Over 10.5 41.85%
Under 10.5 58.15%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 1.5 37.73% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.27% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.42% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.58% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.98% (+0.04)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.1% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 51.11% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.89% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 26.53% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 73.47% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.18% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.82% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dumbarton 30.69%
Draw 23.19%
Stranraer 46.12%
Dumbarton
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.76% (-0.04)
Total : 30.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.19%
Stranraer
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.9% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.05% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.65% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78%
Other @ 10.92% (+0.01)
Total : 46.12%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Russell 29' goal
  • Evan Dunne 64' yellowcard
  • Matthew Gillies 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Kirkpatrick 90'+1'
Scottish League Two
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stair Park
  • yellowcard Marc Kelly 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Healy 90'+1'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 18
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stair Park
  • Ryan Blair 3' goal
  • Craig Ross 22' yellowcard
  • Matty Grant 30' goal
  • Dylan Forrest 34' goal
  • Ben Armour 45'+2' goal
  • Deryn Lang 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Newbury 6'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 14'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Michael Ruth 8' goal
  • Tony Wallace 23' goal
  • goal Craig Ross 5'
  • yellowcard Matty Grant 90'+5'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Tony Wallace 28' goal
  • Ryan Wallace 39' goal
  • Michael Ruth 56' goal
  • Ryan Wallace 71' yellowcard
  • Matthew Shiels 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Armour 24'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 51'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 53'
  • yellowcard Thomas Orr 71'