Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.