Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.