Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.