Scottish League Two
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stair Park
  • Jordan Stuart 71' yellowcard
  • Ronan Hughes 71' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hunter 77' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hunter 78' yellowcard
  • Evan Dunne 84' goal
  • Kirk McKnight 88' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Honeyman 37'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 80'
  • yellowcard Ally Roy 80'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 81'
  • yellowcard Ally Roy 81'

Stranraer vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Annan 1 - 0 Stranraer
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Deryn Lang

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 2.00pm
Dumbarton 2 - 2 Forfar
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Leighton McIntosh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Stranraer 41.93% (-0.89)
Draw 25.73% (-0.17)
Dumbarton 32.34% (+1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77% (+1.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.1% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 21.9% (-1.34)
Over 2.5 54.63% (+1.27)
Under 2.5 45.37% (-1.27)
Over 3.5 31.58% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 68.42% (-0.68)
Over 4.5 17.94% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 82.06% (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Stranraer 35.36% (-0.05)
Draw 41.74% (+0.18)
Dumbarton 22.9% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Stranraer 54.77% (+0.25)
No Goal 5.95% (-0.55)
Dumbarton 39.28% (+0.32)

Corners

Over 8 62.35% (+1.00)
Equal 8 10.9% (-0.19)
Under 8 26.74% (-0.82)
Over 9 50.84% (+1.12)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.12)
Under 9 37.64% (-1.00)
Over 10.5 39.68% (+1.14)
Under 10.5 60.33% (-1.13)

Stranraer Goals

Over 1.5 43.4% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 56.6% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 18.86% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 81.14% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 6.72% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 93.28% (+0.24)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 68.65% (+1.63)
Under 0.5 31.35% (-1.62)
Over 1.5 35.61% (+1.50)
Under 1.5 64.39% (-1.49)
Over 2.5 14.08% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 85.92% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 4.56% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 95.44% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Stranraer 41.94%
Draw 25.73%
Dumbarton 32.34%
Stranraer
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.24)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.58)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.06)
Other @ 6.56% (-0.18)
Total : 41.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.55)
3-3 @ 1.41% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.06)
Total : 25.73%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 7.86% (+0.40)
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.78% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.21% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.31% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.4% (+0.36)
Total : 32.34%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 2' goal
  • Scott Honeyman 17' goal
  • Kai Kirkpatrick 66' yellowcard
  • James Doyle 66' yellowcard
  • Ally Roy 78' yellowcard
  • Tobi Joseph 88' yellowcard
  • Jack Duncan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Dolan 59'
  • yellowcard Dom Plank 59'
  • yellowcard James Dolan 61'
  • yellowcard Dom Plank 61'
  • yellowcard Sallu Turay 66'
  • yellowcard Sallu Turay 67'
  • yellowcard Sallu Turay 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Hunter 76'
  • yellowcard Kirk McKnight 76'
Scottish League Two
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Russell 29' goal
  • Evan Dunne 64' yellowcard
  • Matthew Gillies 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Kirkpatrick 90'+1'
Scottish League Two
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stair Park
  • yellowcard Marc Kelly 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Healy 90'+1'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 18
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stair Park
  • Ryan Blair 3' goal
  • Craig Ross 22' yellowcard
  • Matty Grant 30' goal
  • Dylan Forrest 34' goal
  • Ben Armour 45'+2' goal
  • Deryn Lang 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Newbury 6'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 14'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Michael Ruth 8' goal
  • Tony Wallace 23' goal
  • goal Craig Ross 5'
  • yellowcard Matty Grant 90'+5'