Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.