Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.72% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%) , while for a Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.