Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
Ayr
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Somerset Park
St Johnstone

Ayr United vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Ayr
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.45pm
St Johnstone 2 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
R. Paton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Johnstone win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw has a probability of 26.72% and a win for Ayr United has a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%) , while for a Ayr United win it is 1-0 (7.67%).

Result

Ayr United 21.64% ▼ (-0.69)
Draw 26.72% ▲ (+0.08)
St Johnstone 51.64% ▲ (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.32% ▼ (-0.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.69% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 30.31% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 43.66% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 2.5 56.34% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 3.5 22.65% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 3.5 77.35% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 4.5 12.2% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 87.8% ▲ (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 19.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 44.65% ▲ (+0.08)
St Johnstone 35.63% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 33.88% ▼ (-0.37)
No Goal 9.52% ▲ (+0.18)
St Johnstone 56.6% ▲ (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 48.14% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 8 12.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 39.65% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 9 36.61% ▼ (-0.53)
Equal 9 11.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 51.86% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 10.5 26.6% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 10.5 73.4% ▲ (+0.45)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 21.02% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 78.98% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 2.5 5.86% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 94.14% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 1.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 98.67% ▲ (+0.11)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 76.87% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 23.13% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 44.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.88% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Ayr United 21.65%
Draw 26.7%
St Johnstone 51.65%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 21.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.7%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.43)
0-2 @ 10.27% ▲ (+0.22)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 51.65%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
St Johnstone
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT McDiarmid Park
Ayr
  • Reece McAlear 16' goal
  • C. Diabate 42' goal
  • T. Steven 52' yellowcard
  • T. Steven 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 64' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 65' yellowcard
  • R. Paton 71' yellowcard
  • R. Paton 86' goal
  • goal Liam Dick 18'
  • yellowcard George Finney 59'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 75'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 76'
  • yellowcard Lucas McRoberts 88'
  • yellowcard F. Turley 88'
Scottish Challenge Cup
St Johnstone
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT McDiarmid Park
Ayr
  • Josh McPake 30' yellowcard
  • J. McPake 30' yellowcard
  • Stevie Mallan 46' yellowcard
  • Kai Fotheringham 46' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Gullan 46' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Svedberg 63' yellowcard
  • J. Svedberg 63' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 72' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 89' goal
  • James Gullan 90'+4' goal
  • Jamie Gullan 90'+4' goal
  • James Gullan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jamie Gullan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal George Oakley 15'
  • goal George Oakley 28'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 46'
  • yellowcard Nicholas McAllister 46'
  • goal Kevin Holt 47'
  • yellowcard Ethan Walker 75'
  • yellowcard Jude Bonnar 80'
  • yellowcard J. Bonnar 80'
Scottish Championship
Ayr
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT
St Johnstone
  • Mark McKenzie 8' goal
  • Jamie Murphy 14' goal
  • Anton Dowds 67' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Foulds 47'
  • yellowcard Cheick Diabate 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 74'
  • goal Josh McPake 77'
  • yellowcard Adama Sidibeh 78'
  • goal Josh McPake 87'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Josh McPake 90'
  • goal Kai Fotheringham 90'+2'
Scottish Championship
St Johnstone
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ayr
Scottish League Cup
St Johnstone
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT McDiarmid Park
Ayr
  • Max Kucheriavyi 43' goal
  • Graham Carey 84' yellowcard
  • Taylor Steven 90'+3' yellowcard
  • T. Steven 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal George Stanger 29'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 35'
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 67'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 70'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 71'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 73'
Scottish League Cup
St Johnstone
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT McDiarmid Park
Ayr
  • Graham Carey 2' goal
  • yellowcard Finn Ecrepont 77'

Form Data

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Ayr
Ross County 2 - 1 Ayr
Ayr 1 - 0 Arbroath
Ayr 0 - 3 Dunfermline
Ayr 1 - 1 Partick
Raith Rovers 3 - 0 Ayr
St Johnstone 2 - 0 Raith Rovers
Dunfermline 0 - 2 St Johnstone
St Johnstone 4 - 0 Airdrieonians
Arbroath 2 - 4 St Johnstone
St Johnstone 1 - 1 Queen's Park
Partick 0 - 0 St Johnstone