Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.23% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.