Scottish Championship
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Ryan Dow 34' goal
  • 58' goal
  • Jacob MacIntyre 81' yellowcard
  • Dapo Mebude 82' yellowcard
  • Lewis Gillie 82' yellowcard
  • Jacob MacIntyre 82' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 82' yellowcard
  • Tom Beadling 89' yellowcard
  • Victor Enem 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Gullan 41'
  • yellowcard Josh Fowler 46'
  • goal 66'
  • goal Josh Fowler 73'
  • goal Jack Baird 74'
  • yellowcard T. Steven 85'
  • yellowcard T. Steven 86'

Arbroath vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
Morton 2 - 1 Arbroath
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Findlay Marshall

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
St Johnstone 1 - 1 Queen's Park
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.79% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.85%).

Result

Arbroath 25.6% (-0.95)
Draw 27.79% (-0.27)
St Johnstone 46.61% (+1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.71% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 31.29% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 42.84% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 57.16% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 21.59% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.41% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.1% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 88.9% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 25.07% (-0.92)
Draw 45.02% (+0.43)
St Johnstone 29.91% (+0.49)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 40.26% (-1.89)
No Goal 9.87% (-0.08)
St Johnstone 49.87% (+1.95)

Corners

Over 8 51.03% (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.09)
Under 8 36.9% (+0.13)
Over 9 39.37% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.07)
Under 9 48.97% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 29.02% (-0.31)
Under 10.5 70.98% (+0.30)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 23.95% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 76.05% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 6.89% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 93.11% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.64% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.36% (+0.25)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 74.11% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 25.89% (-1.10)
Over 1.5 40.35% (+1.42)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-1.42)
Over 2.5 16.58% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 83.42% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 5.5% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 94.5% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Arbroath 25.61%
Draw 27.8%
St Johnstone 46.61%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 6.39% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.26% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.61% (-0.27)
Total : 25.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 9.87% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 27.8%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 12.59% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 9.21% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 8.87% (+0.46)
0-3 @ 4.19% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 4.16% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.17)
Other @ 5.47% (+0.21)
Total : 46.61%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • A. Sidibeh 25' goal
  • V. Griffith 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Beadling 64'
  • yellowcard Ryan Dow 76'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Todorov 80'
Scottish Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 15, 2021 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Gayfield Park
  • Jon Nouble 31' goal
  • CJ Hamilton 34' yellowcard
  • James Craigen 44' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Brien 93' goal
  • Nicky Low 105'+2' yellowcard
  • Liam Henderson 113' yellowcard
  • Colin Hamilton 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Glenn Middleton 30'
  • yellowcard Jason Kerr 45'
  • goal Glenn Middleton 59'
  • yellowcard Liam Craig 95'
  • goal Jamie McCart 105'