Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.79% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.85%).